Model Predictions
| Model | Cal Poly Mustangs | UC Irvine Anteaters | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 9.4% | 90.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 28.7% | 71.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 20.4% | 79.6% | +7.5 | ✗ (21.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.1% | 47.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 53.7% | 46.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 53.6% | 46.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UC Irvine Anteaters -14 (81-95). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Lewis | 35 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | - |
| L. Keeler | 34 | 12-18 | 6-11 | 8-8 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 38 | 25 | - |
| K. Odister | 31 | 8-9 | 3-4 | 4-5 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 19 | - |
| S. Lewis | 26 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 13 | - |
| D. Hanson | 22 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 12 | - |
| R. Darling | 20 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | - |
| W. Taylor | 14 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 9 | - |
| J. Brown | 13 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| C. Anderson | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
UC Irvine Anteaters
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Wise | 40 | 8-17 | 0-0 | 9-12 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 25 | 15 | - |
| M. Hunter | 39 | 6-11 | 5-9 | 7-7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 15 | - |
| D. Moore | 32 | 4-8 | 3-6 | 3-4 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 14 | - |
| M. Wilder | 28 | 1-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -3 | - |
| P. Rembert | 12 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| P. Losonsky | 12 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| A. Folker | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Z. Atkinson | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| B. Scott | 5 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| E. Kim | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| D. Flowers | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| P. Simek | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter