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Army Black Knights 57
@
Portland Pilots 67
2010-01-02

Model Predictions

Model Army Black Knights Portland Pilots Spread Result
Elo 7.0% 93.0% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 16.6% 83.4% - ✓
Margin 4.1% 95.9% +17.4 ✓ (7.4 off)
Pythagorean 37.4% 62.6% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 1.7% 98.3% - ✓
Log Adjusted 1.6% 98.4% - ✓
Points Off/Def 19.3% 80.7% - ✓

Actual: Portland Pilots +10 (67-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Army Black Knights

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Richard 35 3-12 2-4 2-2 2 2 1 2 2 10 3 -
J. Miller 30 2-7 1-4 6-6 5 3 4 0 5 11 11 -
J. Simmons 26 5-9 5-7 2-3 0 1 1 0 2 17 8 -
C. Walker 26 2-6 0-0 0-0 6 0 2 0 0 4 6 -
J. Hence 23 0-3 0-1 2-4 4 1 0 0 4 2 0 -
M. Nelson 20 1-4 0-0 1-2 3 1 1 1 1 3 4 -
E. Ellis 13 1-3 0-1 2-3 1 0 0 0 0 4 2 -
E. Zastoupil 13 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
J. Sizemore 10 2-4 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 4 1 -
M. McDonald 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Pancoe 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Portland Pilots

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T.J. Campbell 37 4-8 3-6 0-0 3 6 0 0 6 11 6 -
R. Smeulders 33 2-4 0-0 2-4 4 0 0 2 3 6 5 -
E. Niedermeyer 29 4-8 4-7 2-4 1 1 0 0 2 14 6 -
L. Sikma 29 4-6 0-1 4-7 19 3 0 0 1 12 27 -
N. Raivio 22 5-10 1-4 0-1 4 1 4 0 4 11 6 -
J. Stohl 19 2-9 1-7 3-4 2 2 1 0 3 8 1 -
T. Ito 15 1-2 1-2 0-2 1 2 1 0 0 3 5 -
K. Knutson 14 0-1 0-0 2-4 2 2 0 1 1 2 5 -
J. Hannibal 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter