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2010-01-03

Model Predictions

Model Southern Illinois Salukis Illinois State Redbirds Spread Result
Elo 28.8% 71.2% -
Bradley-Terry 37.4% 62.6% -
Margin 30.9% 69.1% +4.4 (2.6 off)
Pythagorean 42.2% 57.8% -
Efficiency 34.1% 65.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 34.4% 65.6% -
Log Adjusted 34.4% 65.6% -

Actual: Illinois State Redbirds +7 (68-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Southern Illinois Salukis

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Freeman 35 4-15 3-11 0-0 7 0 0 0 1 11 2 -
K. Dillard 33 4-8 2-6 6-6 1 3 0 0 6 16 6 -
J. Bocot 32 4-11 3-7 2-4 2 2 1 0 2 13 5 -
C. Fay 28 4-5 1-2 0-0 4 2 0 0 2 9 8 -
A. Booker 25 4-8 0-0 0-0 10 1 0 2 0 8 13 -
N. Evans 15 0-3 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 1 0 0 -
E. Teague 12 1-4 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 -1 -
J. Freeman 10 0-0 0-0 2-2 1 1 3 0 1 2 6 -
K. Brown-Surles 10 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 1 0 1 -

Illinois State Redbirds

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
O. Eldridge 34 3-9 1-4 7-8 3 3 2 0 5 14 8 -
D. Odiakosa 33 5-6 0-0 0-1 9 1 2 0 0 10 16 -
L. Phillips 33 6-8 4-6 5-6 0 3 1 0 3 21 14 -
A. Rubin 28 0-4 0-2 1-2 2 3 1 0 0 1 3 -
T. Lewis 22 1-1 0-0 4-9 8 0 1 0 2 6 12 -
J. Carmichael 20 3-6 0-0 2-3 2 1 1 1 1 8 6 -
A. Hill 15 2-8 0-0 4-4 2 0 0 0 0 8 2 -
J. Clark 6 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
K. Thornton 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
T. Johnson 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter