Model Predictions
| Model | Southern Illinois Salukis | Illinois State Redbirds | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 28.8% | 71.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.4% | 62.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 30.9% | 69.1% | +4.4 | ✓ (2.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.2% | 57.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 34.1% | 65.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 34.4% | 65.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 34.4% | 65.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Illinois State Redbirds +7 (68-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Southern Illinois Salukis
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Freeman | 35 | 4-15 | 3-11 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 2 | - |
| K. Dillard | 33 | 4-8 | 2-6 | 6-6 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 16 | 6 | - |
| J. Bocot | 32 | 4-11 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 5 | - |
| C. Fay | 28 | 4-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 8 | - |
| A. Booker | 25 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 13 | - |
| N. Evans | 15 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| E. Teague | 12 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| J. Freeman | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| K. Brown-Surles | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O. Eldridge | 34 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 7-8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 8 | - |
| D. Odiakosa | 33 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 16 | - |
| L. Phillips | 33 | 6-8 | 4-6 | 5-6 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 14 | - |
| A. Rubin | 28 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - |
| T. Lewis | 22 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4-9 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 12 | - |
| J. Carmichael | 20 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| A. Hill | 15 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 2 | - |
| J. Clark | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| K. Thornton | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| T. Johnson | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter