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2010-01-02

Model Predictions

Model Longwood Lancers Colgate Raiders Spread Result
Elo 30.7% 69.3% +4.7 โœ“ (10.3 off)
Bradley-Terry 41.0% 59.0% - โœ“
Margin 24.9% 75.1% +6.1 โœ“ (8.9 off)
Pythagorean 34.8% 65.2% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 32.1% 67.9% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 31.7% 68.3% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 36.7% 63.3% - โœ“

Actual: Colgate Raiders +15 (95-80). Ratings: 2009-10 season-end ratings.

Longwood Lancers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kevin Swecker * 34 3-12 2-9 0-0 2 3 1 0 1 8 1 -
Dana Smith * 32 7-13 3-4 1-5 10 2 0 0 3 18 14 -
E.J. Dawson * 23 2-3 1-1 2-2 1 2 1 1 1 7 8 -
Martiz Washington * 23 3-8 1-4 0-0 2 2 0 0 1 7 2 -
Billy Robinson Jr. * 21 7-11 0-1 1-3 3 1 2 0 0 15 10 -
Aaron Mitchell 25 0-2 0-1 2-4 3 4 1 0 1 2 7 -
Antwan Carter 20 7-11 0-0 1-2 4 1 1 0 2 15 8 -
Jan van der Kooij 8 2-4 1-2 0-0 4 0 0 0 2 5 3 -
Ian Persaud 7 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 3 1 -
Earl Gee II 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 2 1 0 1 0 2 -
Stephen Shockley 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Colgate Raiders

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kyle Roemer * 36 14-21 5-9 5-5 7 0 1 1 2 38 24 -
Yaw Gyawu * 35 6-11 0-0 6-8 7 3 0 0 2 18 15 -
Ben Jonson * 35 9-13 2-4 3-3 8 0 0 2 3 23 17 -
Mitch Rolls * 28 1-4 0-2 3-4 3 2 0 0 1 5 5 -
Anthony Hill * 18 0-5 0-3 2-2 3 3 0 0 1 2 2 -
Joe Hoban 28 1-3 0-0 1-2 6 5 5 0 2 3 14 -
Nick Pascale 11 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
Brett Marfurt 7 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 2 2 -
Sterling Melville 2 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -

* = starter