Model Predictions
| Model | Boise State Broncos | Fresno State Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 49.5% | 50.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.4% | 57.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 37.3% | 62.7% | +2.9 | ✓ (0.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.9% | 48.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 50.1% | 49.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 50.2% | 49.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 44.1% | 55.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Fresno State Bulldogs +3 (71-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Boise State Broncos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Anderson | 38 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 8 | - |
| A. Thomas | 38 | 3-10 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 12 | - |
| D. Montreal | 29 | 7-8 | 2-2 | 8-9 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 24 | 23 | - |
| R. Arnold | 28 | 2-9 | 1-5 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Z. Moritz | 19 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| K. Cunningham | 19 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
| P. Noonan | 16 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| I. Okoye | 13 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 8 | - |
Fresno State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. George | 37 | 5-11 | 0-3 | 11-12 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 17 | - |
| M. Ladd | 35 | 7-12 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 14 | - |
| S. Seay | 35 | 5-12 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 11 | - |
| G. Smith | 32 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 11 | - |
| S. Shepp | 32 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 2 | - |
| B. Sperling | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. Brown | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| B. Webster | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| N. Golubovic | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | - |
* = starter