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2010-01-03

Model Predictions

Model Wisconsin Badgers Penn State Nittany Lions Spread Result
Elo 67.9% 32.1% -6.1 โœ“ (10.9 off)
Bradley-Terry 81.8% 18.2% - โœ“
Margin 79.0% 21.0% -7.3 โœ“ (9.7 off)
Pythagorean 60.0% 40.0% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 90.9% 9.1% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 91.0% 9.0% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 65.4% 34.6% - โœ“

Actual: Penn State Nittany Lions -17 (46-63). Ratings: 2009-10 season-end ratings.

Wisconsin Badgers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Trevon Hughes 37 6-14 2-6 4-5 5 7 1 0 4 18 13 -
Jason Bohannon 36 4-7 3-5 0-0 5 4 1 0 1 11 13 -
Tim Jarmusz 32 1-3 1-3 0-0 4 0 1 0 0 3 5 -
Keaton Nankivil 31 3-6 0-1 0-0 11 0 0 1 1 6 11 -
Ryan Evans 20 3-4 0-0 4-6 2 0 1 0 0 10 9 -
Jordan Taylor 17 3-7 1-3 0-0 1 2 0 0 1 7 2 -
Jon Leuer 14 2-7 1-2 1-1 2 0 0 0 0 6 1 -
Rob Wilson 12 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 3 -
Jared Berggren 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Brett Valentyn 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 -

Penn State Nittany Lions

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Talor Battle 40 6-16 2-7 1-2 4 4 2 0 4 15 5 -
Chris Babb 31 2-6 2-4 0-0 4 4 0 0 1 6 7 -
Andrew Jones 31 1-1 0-0 1-3 6 0 0 0 1 3 7 -
David Jackson 30 4-7 1-1 4-7 5 1 1 0 1 13 12 -
Jeff Brooks 26 3-7 0-0 0-2 3 0 0 0 0 6 2 -
Tim Frazier 13 0-2 0-0 0-2 4 1 0 0 2 0 1 -
Bill Edwards 11 0-4 0-3 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 -3 -
Cammeron Woodyard 7 0-3 0-3 0-1 4 1 0 0 0 0 2 -
Andrew Ott 7 1-1 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 -
Adam Highberger 4 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter