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2010-01-02

Model Predictions

Model Arizona Wildcats UCLA Bruins Spread Result
Elo 79.7% 20.3% -
Bradley-Terry 3.3% 96.7% -
Margin 21.6% 78.4% +7.1 (21.1 off)
Pythagorean 57.7% 42.3% -
Efficiency 81.2% 18.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 69.2% 30.8% -
Log Adjusted 69.3% 30.7% -

Actual: UCLA Bruins -14 (63-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Arizona Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
N. Wise 36 2-7 0-1 4-4 4 5 4 0 5 8 9 -
K. Fogg 36 9-12 1-1 6-9 5 2 1 3 3 25 21 -
J. Horne 32 6-12 4-8 1-2 6 1 0 1 1 17 12 -
D. Williams 29 6-10 0-0 4-6 9 1 0 1 0 16 17 -
B. Lavender 21 1-4 1-4 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 3 0 -
K. Parrom 19 1-3 0-1 0-0 3 2 0 1 1 2 4 -
S. Hill 15 3-7 0-0 0-0 5 3 2 0 0 6 9 -
K. Natyazhko 12 0-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -

UCLA Bruins

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Roll 35 5-12 2-6 3-3 1 1 0 0 3 15 2 -
M. Lee 35 5-13 1-3 4-6 5 4 3 1 5 15 10 -
N. Dragovic 33 2-7 0-5 7-8 4 3 0 0 1 11 10 -
R. Nelson 27 3-7 0-0 4-9 8 0 1 0 1 10 11 -
J. Anderson 25 2-3 0-0 0-0 0 4 0 0 1 4 4 -
T. Honeycutt 24 2-4 0-0 0-0 7 1 2 2 3 4 9 -
J. Keefe 13 1-1 0-0 1-2 3 0 0 1 0 3 6 -
B. Lane 6 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Morgan 2 0-1 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 1 1 -1 -

* = starter