Model Predictions
| Model | Sacramento State Hornets | Portland State Vikings | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 9.7% | 90.3% | +14.4 | ✓ (13.6 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 27.1% | 72.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 10.8% | 89.2% | +11.6 | ✓ (16.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 27.6% | 72.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 12.0% | 88.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 11.9% | 88.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 26.7% | 73.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Portland State Vikings +28 (94-66). Ratings: 2009-10 season-end ratings.
Sacramento State Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Dickson * | 24 | 5-8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 5 | - |
| Michael Selling * | 23 | 3-10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | -1 | - |
| Antonio Flaggs * | 23 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Justin Eller * | 22 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 12 | - |
| Mike Marcial * | 18 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Duro Bjegovic | 29 | 5-6 | 3-3 | 4-6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 17 | - |
| Sultan Toles-Bey | 22 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Domineek Daniel | 15 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Jared Stigall | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Jonathan Malloy | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Dan Lopez | 4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Brad Johnstin | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Portland State Vikings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dominic Waters * | 35 | 9-15 | 5-8 | 3-4 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 17 | - |
| Phil Nelson * | 32 | 6-8 | 5-7 | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 13 | - |
| Jamie Jones * | 29 | 10-14 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 26 | 30 | - |
| Julius Thomas * | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 16 | - |
| Paul Guede * | 20 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Melvin Jones | 31 | 5-11 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 10 | - |
| Chris Harriel | 15 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Dane Johnson | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Phillip Thomas | 5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Kenton Bansemer | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Alonzo Brandon | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Austonn Lazoff | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter