Model Predictions
| Model | Northern Colorado Bears | Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 63.9% | 36.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 64.6% | 35.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 71.8% | 28.2% | -5.1 | ✓ (3.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 68.3% | 31.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 84.8% | 15.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 84.9% | 15.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 61.3% | 38.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Northern Arizona Lumberjacks -9 (66-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Northern Colorado Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W. Figures | 36 | 5-12 | 1-2 | 10-10 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 16 | - |
| T. Montgomery | 32 | 0-7 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Y. Bonner | 32 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 7-7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 16 | - |
| D. Beitzel | 31 | 6-9 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 10 | - |
| N. Kingman | 18 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 3 | - |
| C. Kaba | 18 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | - |
| M. Proctor | 12 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| E. Lloyd | 9 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| C. Osborne | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| H. Brereton | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| D. Arnold | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Northern Arizona Lumberjacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Jones | 35 | 5-14 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 6 | - |
| E. Platt | 27 | 3-10 | 2-7 | 5-6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 6 | - |
| S. Johannsen | 26 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - |
| J. Olubuyi | 26 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | - |
| N. Larson | 25 | 6-9 | 4-4 | 4-4 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 20 | 24 | - |
| G. Rogers | 21 | 1-10 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -8 | - |
| D. Jones | 17 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 6 | - |
| J. Lepley | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| S. Saldivar | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| L. Flores | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter