Model Predictions
| Model | Little Rock Trojans | UL Monroe Warhawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 44.7% | 55.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.0% | 62.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 39.6% | 60.4% | +2.3 | ✓ (1.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.2% | 59.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 50.0% | 50.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 50.3% | 49.7% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 44.6% | 55.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UL Monroe Warhawks +4 (68-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Little Rock Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Garcia-Mendoza | 36 | 3-13 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 4 | - |
| C. Jackson | 34 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 5 | - |
| W. Burton | 29 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 10 | - |
| S. Bozeman | 28 | 6-15 | 2-6 | 3-4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 4 | - |
| L. Foster | 27 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 5 | - |
| M. Mouzy | 26 | 7-11 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 10 | - |
| R. Davison | 10 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| M. Thornton | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| D. Bails | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| K. Stewart | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
UL Monroe Warhawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Hooper | 36 | 10-23 | 8-16 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 28 | 9 | - |
| D. Forbes | 33 | 4-11 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 8 | - |
| R. Turner | 28 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 10 | - |
| W. Fuselier | 28 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | - |
| T. Sykes | 27 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0-4 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 4 | - |
| L. Gilbert | 18 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| J. Hill | 17 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| C. Carr | 7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| R. Burt | 6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
* = starter