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2010-01-02

Model Predictions

Model Gonzaga Bulldogs Illinois Fighting Illini Spread Result
Elo 36.6% 63.4% -
Bradley-Terry 68.0% 32.0% -
Margin 70.3% 29.7% -4.7 (2.7 off)
Pythagorean 63.3% 36.7% -
Efficiency 66.3% 33.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 64.2% 35.8% -
Log Adjusted 63.2% 36.8% -

Actual: Illinois Fighting Illini -2 (83-85). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Gonzaga Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Bouldin 44 8-16 2-6 0-0 9 7 2 0 5 18 15 -
R. Sacre 40 7-9 1-1 4-4 3 2 1 1 5 19 12 -
E. Harris 38 7-11 1-2 4-6 16 1 1 1 2 19 25 -
D. Goodson 36 0-3 0-1 1-3 3 4 0 0 3 1 2 -
S. Gray 35 8-15 2-6 2-2 4 5 1 1 3 20 13 -
B. Kong 16 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 0 1 -
K. Olynyk 10 3-3 0-0 2-5 1 1 0 0 2 8 5 -
M. Arop 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
W. Foster 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Illinois Fighting Illini

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Davis 43 6-16 0-0 0-2 10 0 0 0 2 12 4 -
D. McCamey 43 8-18 1-7 3-3 3 6 5 0 2 20 14 -
B. Paul 37 5-15 2-9 5-5 1 3 3 0 0 17 9 -
D. Keller 34 10-19 1-5 1-2 9 3 3 2 2 22 18 -
J. Jordan 32 1-4 0-0 0-0 2 7 3 0 1 2 9 -
D.J. Richardson 15 2-6 0-3 2-2 4 2 1 0 2 6 5 -
M. Tisdale 11 2-4 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 4 -1 -
B. Cole 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 0 3 -
T. Griffey 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter