Model Predictions
| Model | Louisville Cardinals | Kentucky Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 21.0% | 79.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.3% | 64.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 31.0% | 69.0% | +4.4 | ✓ (4.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.9% | 61.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 6.3% | 93.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 15.4% | 84.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 15.4% | 84.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Kentucky Wildcats +9 (71-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Louisville Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Sosa | 34 | 3-11 | 0-4 | 5-6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 11 | -2 | - |
| J. Swopshire | 30 | 4-13 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 10 | -1 | - |
| R. Delk | 28 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 12 | - |
| S. Samuels | 25 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 10 | - |
| J. Smith | 25 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 12 | - |
| P. Knowles | 17 | 1-8 | 0-2 | 5-5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | - |
| T. Jennings | 15 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 8 | - |
| R. Buckles | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| K. Kuric | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| P. Siva | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| S. Van Treese | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Kentucky Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. Patterson | 38 | 7-10 | 1-1 | 2-5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 12 | - |
| J. Wall | 36 | 5-10 | 0-3 | 7-12 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 17 | 9 | - |
| E. Bledsoe | 30 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 6-6 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 8 | - |
| D. Cousins | 26 | 7-14 | 0-0 | 4-8 | 18 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 26 | - |
| R. Harris | 23 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | - |
| D. Dodson | 13 | 0-5 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| P. Stevenson | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| D. Orton | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| D. Liggins | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| D. Miller | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter