Model Predictions
| Model | Cal Poly Mustangs | Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 42.2% | 57.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 60.4% | 39.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 52.4% | 47.6% | -0.5 | ✗ (7.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 58.9% | 41.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 63.6% | 36.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 63.7% | 36.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 51.2% | 48.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners +7 (70-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Keeler | 30 | 6-15 | 1-5 | 4-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 5 | - |
| J. Lewis | 30 | 5-10 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 4 | - |
| K. Odister | 26 | 3-10 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | -1 | - |
| S. Lewis | 24 | 4-14 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | -1 | - |
| C. Anderson | 22 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| W. Taylor | 22 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 17 | - |
| D. Hanson | 16 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| J. Brown | 16 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| R. Darling | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Bragg | 38 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 2-4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | - |
| T. Blakley | 38 | 2-12 | 0-6 | 8-11 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 7 | - |
| S. Carter | 37 | 4-12 | 0-0 | 14-16 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 22 | 19 | - |
| D. Johnson | 29 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 10 | - |
| B. Emanuel | 18 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 7 | - |
| C. Brown | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| S. Latunde | 10 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 7-9 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 13 | - |
| M. Hall | 7 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| J. Lara | 6 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| G. DeLeon | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter