Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois State Redbirds | Missouri State Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 56.3% | 43.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.8% | 65.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 24.0% | 76.0% | +6.3 | ✓ (2.3 off) |
| Efficiency | 86.8% | 13.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Missouri State Bears +4 (68-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Phillips | 37 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 9 | - |
| O. Eldridge | 32 | 5-12 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 10 | - |
| D. Odiakosa | 32 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 10 | - |
| A. Rubin | 25 | 2-6 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| J. Carmichael | 22 | 6-6 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 14 | - |
| A. Hill | 18 | 4-9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 2 | - |
| T. Lewis | 12 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| K. Thornton | 12 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| J. Clark | 7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| B. Mishler | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Missouri State Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Leonard | 36 | 5-12 | 4-10 | 6-6 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 20 | 10 | - |
| J. Mallett | 35 | 5-12 | 1-5 | 4-5 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 15 | - |
| C. Patterson | 26 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| K. Weems | 23 | 6-10 | 5-7 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 14 | - |
| J. Fuehrmeyer | 22 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | - |
| W. Creekmore | 22 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 9 | - |
| K. Pickens | 18 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| R. Jehle | 5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| I. Rhine | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Jones | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| N. Ricks | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter