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2010-01-01

Model Predictions

Model Southern Illinois Salukis Bradley Braves Spread Result
Elo 11.6% 88.4% -
Bradley-Terry 42.5% 57.5% -
Margin 36.1% 63.9% +3.1 (8.1 off)
Pythagorean 46.1% 53.9% -
Efficiency 1.4% 98.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 36.8% 63.2% -
Log Adjusted 36.7% 63.3% -

Actual: Bradley Braves -5 (81-86). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Southern Illinois Salukis

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Dillard 37 5-15 1-4 6-8 6 12 3 0 1 17 22 -
T. Freeman 37 8-13 5-9 2-2 4 2 1 0 1 23 16 -
J. Bocot 24 5-7 2-3 4-4 2 1 1 0 2 16 11 -
J. Freeman 23 0-2 0-0 4-4 1 1 0 0 2 4 2 -
N. Evans 23 1-1 0-0 1-2 6 1 0 2 2 3 9 -
C. Fay 19 5-9 2-4 2-3 3 0 1 0 1 14 8 -
A. Booker 15 1-2 0-0 2-2 4 0 0 0 2 4 4 -
E. Teague 11 2-2 0-0 1-1 2 0 0 0 1 5 4 -
K. Brown-Surles 11 0-3 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 -3 -

Bradley Braves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Warren 36 7-13 1-2 9-10 6 0 0 0 1 24 16 -
C. Roberts 34 4-8 1-1 1-3 3 6 2 1 1 10 13 -
W. Egolf 30 6-8 0-0 1-3 10 0 2 0 2 13 15 -
T. Brown 29 7-13 1-2 10-10 3 2 2 0 4 25 15 -
S. Maniscalco 28 2-7 0-4 1-1 2 5 0 0 2 5 3 -
S. Singh 16 1-3 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 1 2 -1 -
E. McCain 12 0-1 0-1 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 0 3 -
J. Eastman 11 1-4 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 2 -2 -
R. Phillips 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 -

* = starter