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2009-12-31

Model Predictions

Model Arizona Wildcats USC Trojans Spread Result
Elo 69.5% 30.5% -
Bradley-Terry 5.3% 94.7% -
Margin 36.9% 63.1% +2.9 (3.1 off)
Pythagorean 46.5% 53.5% -
Efficiency 28.0% 72.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 53.5% 46.5% -
Log Adjusted 53.6% 46.4% -

Actual: USC Trojans +6 (56-50). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Arizona Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Hill 36 1-7 1-3 0-0 6 2 0 0 2 3 2 -
N. Wise 36 2-10 0-0 3-4 5 3 1 0 3 7 3 -
K. Fogg 33 3-9 0-2 2-2 3 0 0 0 2 8 0 -
J. Horne 32 5-11 3-6 0-0 4 0 0 1 1 13 6 -
D. Williams 27 2-4 0-0 11-12 8 1 2 0 3 15 19 -
K. Natyazhko 14 1-3 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 2 0 -
K. Parrom 10 0-2 0-1 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 0 1 -
L. Jones 9 1-3 0-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 3 2 -3 -
B. Lavender 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

USC Trojans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Lewis 40 6-15 0-4 2-3 2 3 0 1 2 14 3 -
M. Gerrity 38 1-5 0-2 2-2 3 2 1 1 5 4 1 -
N. Vucevic 37 3-6 0-0 2-5 10 0 1 4 1 8 16 -
M. Johnson 34 5-8 1-3 3-4 2 1 2 0 4 14 7 -
L. Washington 22 2-5 0-0 3-5 2 0 2 1 1 7 6 -
A. Stepheson 19 4-8 0-0 1-1 7 0 0 1 1 9 8 -
M. Simmons 8 0-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 0 0 0 2 -
D. Smith 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter