Model Predictions
| Model | Michigan State Spartans | Louisville Cardinals | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 79.9% | 20.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.7% | 59.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 33.8% | 66.2% | +3.7 | ✗ (15.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.0% | 56.0% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 27.8% | 72.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 50.6% | 49.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 50.1% | 49.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Louisville Cardinals -12 (52-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Suton | 32 | 7-15 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 17 | - |
| T. Walton | 30 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | - |
| K. Lucas | 30 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 8 | - |
| D. Summers | 25 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 9 | - |
| D. Green | 24 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 15 | - |
| C. Allen | 18 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| D. Roe | 14 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| R. Morgan | 10 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Gray | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| K. Lucious | 5 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| J. Crandell | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Thornton | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| I. Dahlman | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| T. Herzog | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| I. Ibok | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Louisville Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Clark | 40 | 8-17 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 8 | - |
| T. Williams | 35 | 1-7 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 8 | - |
| P. Knowles | 24 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 10 | - |
| A. McGee | 24 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - |
| S. Samuels | 22 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | -1 | - |
| T. Jennings | 18 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| E. Sosa | 16 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | - |
| J. Smith | 16 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - |
| R. Delk | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. Swopshire | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter