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2009-03-27

Model Predictions

Model Kansas Jayhawks Michigan State Spartans Spread Result
Elo 0.3% 99.7% -
Bradley-Terry 1.5% 98.5% -
Margin 0.0% 100.0% +71.5 (66.5 off)
Pythagorean 49.4% 50.6% -
Efficiency 47.7% 52.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 41.7% 58.3% -
Log Adjusted 41.7% 58.3% -

Actual: Michigan State Spartans +5 (67-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Kansas Jayhawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Collins 38 9-13 2-5 0-1 2 3 0 0 6 20 6 -
C. Aldrich 34 6-13 0-0 5-6 14 4 2 4 4 17 24 -
B. Morningstar 34 3-8 0-2 0-0 3 2 2 0 2 6 3 -
T. Taylor 28 2-4 0-1 4-4 1 2 1 0 3 8 5 -
M. Morris 24 1-7 0-2 0-0 7 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
T. Reed 21 1-2 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 3 0 -
M. Morris Sr. 14 1-4 0-0 2-2 2 0 1 0 2 4 1 -
M. Little 7 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 2 2 -

Michigan State Spartans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Lucas 35 5-15 1-4 7-7 2 7 4 0 2 18 14 -
G. Suton 33 8-16 1-3 3-3 9 0 5 1 3 20 16 -
T. Walton 29 1-5 0-0 0-0 5 5 1 0 1 2 7 -
D. Summers 26 3-4 2-3 1-2 5 0 1 0 0 9 11 -
D. Green 21 3-6 0-0 1-1 1 0 2 0 1 7 3 -
C. Allen 20 2-7 1-4 2-2 3 3 0 0 0 7 6 -
R. Morgan 13 1-6 0-1 2-2 1 0 0 0 2 4 -3 -
D. Roe 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 0 3 -
I. Ibok 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 -
K. Lucious 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -2 -
M. Gray 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter