Model Predictions
| Model | USC Trojans | Michigan State Spartans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 18.4% | 81.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 25.2% | 74.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 13.3% | 86.7% | +10.3 | ✓ (5.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.7% | 54.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 21.1% | 78.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 16.0% | 84.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 16.1% | 83.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Michigan State Spartans +5 (74-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
USC Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Hackett | 40 | 5-11 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 10 | - |
| D. Lewis | 40 | 6-17 | 0-3 | 7-8 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 7 | - |
| D. DeRozan | 37 | 6-13 | 0-3 | 6-7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 10 | - |
| L. Washington | 24 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 10 | - |
| T. Gibson | 23 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 5 | - |
| N. Vucevic | 22 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| M. Simmons | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| K. Wilkinson | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| M. Johnson | 3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Lucas | 35 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 12 | - |
| G. Suton | 27 | 1-10 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 9 | - |
| D. Summers | 26 | 4-5 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 15 | - |
| T. Walton | 26 | 8-13 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 7 | - |
| C. Allen | 24 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| D. Green | 22 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 11 | - |
| D. Roe | 17 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 7 | - |
| R. Morgan | 17 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | - |
| K. Lucious | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| M. Gray | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| I. Ibok | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter