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2009-03-20

Model Predictions

Model USC Trojans Boston College Eagles Spread Result
Elo 85.1% 14.9% -
Bradley-Terry 57.2% 42.8% -
Margin 55.6% 44.4% -1.2 (15.8 off)
Pythagorean 52.4% 47.6% -
Efficiency 85.2% 14.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 58.3% 41.7% -
Log Adjusted 58.4% 41.6% -

Actual: Boston College Eagles -17 (55-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.

USC Trojans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. DeRozan 40 8-15 0-1 2-4 9 3 0 0 2 18 13 -
D. Hackett 40 2-5 0-1 2-2 6 6 1 2 5 6 11 -
D. Lewis 40 6-12 4-7 4-6 6 4 2 1 2 20 19 -
T. Gibson 36 10-10 0-0 4-5 6 5 1 3 3 24 26 -
L. Washington 19 1-6 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 0 0 2 2 -
M. Simmons 17 0-1 0-0 2-2 1 0 1 0 0 2 3 -
N. Vucevic 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 -
M. Johnson 4 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 -1 -

Boston College Eagles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Rice 34 4-11 1-6 0-0 3 4 0 0 6 9 -1 -
C. Raji 31 4-11 0-2 7-7 7 0 1 0 1 15 11 -
J. Trapani 31 3-11 2-5 4-4 7 1 0 2 0 12 11 -
J. Southern 24 1-2 0-0 1-2 4 1 0 0 2 3 4 -
R. Sanders 23 3-11 2-6 1-1 1 0 1 0 2 9 -2 -
R. Jackson 19 2-5 0-1 0-0 4 4 3 0 2 4 8 -
C. Dunn 16 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 1 0 1 -
B. Paris 13 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 3 0 0 0 0 1 -
T. Roche 9 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 -

* = starter