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2009-03-20

Model Predictions

Model Dayton Flyers West Virginia Mountaineers Spread Result
Elo 32.8% 67.2% -
Bradley-Terry 33.5% 66.5% -
Margin 18.5% 81.5% +8.1 (16.1 off)
Efficiency 44.2% 55.8% -

Actual: West Virginia Mountaineers -8 (60-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Dayton Flyers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Johnson 36 3-10 2-4 2-4 4 0 1 0 0 10 5 -
C. Wright 34 10-16 1-1 6-7 10 2 0 2 3 27 22 -
C. Little 31 8-11 0-0 2-3 2 2 0 0 0 18 11 -
K. Huelsman 27 1-5 0-0 1-3 5 0 0 0 0 3 3 -
L. Warren 27 1-4 0-0 0-0 1 9 2 0 1 2 9 -
M. Perry 17 1-3 0-2 3-6 3 0 2 0 3 5 4 -
P. Williams 11 1-3 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 -
C. Johnson 9 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 0 -1 -
D. Searcy 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
S. Thomas 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

West Virginia Mountaineers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Ebanks 40 5-13 0-2 4-5 12 3 0 2 0 14 18 -
D. Butler 34 4-13 0-6 4-4 5 1 0 1 5 12 1 -
D. Bryant 34 5-9 4-6 7-8 1 3 0 0 2 21 14 -
A. Ruoff 24 4-11 1-4 0-2 5 0 1 1 2 9 3 -
W. Smith 19 0-2 0-2 1-2 2 2 0 0 1 1 2 -
J. Flowers 18 0-0 0-0 2-2 4 1 1 0 0 2 8 -
K. Jones 14 0-1 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 0 1 1 -
C. Thoroughman 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 1 -
J. Sowards 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. West 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter