Model Predictions
| Model | Arizona Wildcats | Louisville Cardinals | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 80.4% | 19.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.2% | 97.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 13.1% | 86.9% | +10.4 | ✓ (28.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.9% | 55.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 26.1% | 73.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 25.7% | 74.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Louisville Cardinals +39 (103-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Arizona Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Wise | 36 | 4-14 | 2-8 | 4-6 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 7 | - |
| C. Budinger | 36 | 9-15 | 2-6 | 2-3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 22 | 10 | - |
| J. Hill | 32 | 6-18 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 6 | - |
| K. Fogg | 29 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| J. Horne | 28 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Z. Johnson | 18 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| F. Onobun | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| B. Lavender | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | - |
| A. Jacobson | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D.J. Shumpert | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| D. Bagga | 1 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
Louisville Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Williams | 33 | 5-12 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 15 | - |
| E. Clark | 31 | 7-12 | 2-3 | 3-3 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 17 | - |
| S. Samuels | 26 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 18 | - |
| E. Sosa | 21 | 5-6 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 14 | - |
| A. McGee | 19 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| J. Smith | 18 | 6-10 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 9 | - |
| P. Knowles | 13 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| T. Jennings | 10 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 12 | - |
| W. Scott | 9 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| R. Delk | 9 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| J. Swopshire | 5 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| G. Goode | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| K. Kuric | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter