Model Predictions
| Model | Morehead State Eagles | Louisville Cardinals | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 7.0% | 93.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 9.3% | 90.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 1.4% | 98.6% | +23.4 | ✓ (3.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 33.8% | 66.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 12.0% | 88.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Louisville Cardinals +20 (74-54). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Morehead State Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Stallworth | 38 | 5-11 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 5 | - |
| D. Harper | 37 | 1-9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -3 | - |
| L. Buchanan | 35 | 6-16 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 4 | - |
| B. Shingles | 33 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 0 | - |
| K. Faried | 33 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 16 | - |
| S. Peterson | 10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| C. Brown | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| D. Echols | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| J. Lamb | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Coleman | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| R. Murry | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
Louisville Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Williams | 39 | 5-9 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 15 | - |
| S. Samuels | 30 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 11 | - |
| E. Clark | 27 | 6-8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Arinn Mcgee | 24 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 11 | - |
| J. Smith | 21 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | - |
| P. Knowles | 19 | 1-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -1 | - |
| E. Sosa | 16 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 4 | - |
| J. Swopshire | 13 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 2-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | - |
| T. Jennings | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| R. Delk | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| G. Goode | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter