Model Predictions
| Model | Oklahoma Sooners | North Carolina Tar Heels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 48.0% | 52.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 31.2% | 68.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 21.7% | 78.3% | +7.1 | ✓ (4.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.7% | 58.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 25.8% | 74.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 11.4% | 88.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 11.4% | 88.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +12 (72-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Oklahoma Sooners
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Griffin | 38 | 9-12 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 25 | - |
| T. Griffin | 37 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -3 | - |
| W. Warren | 36 | 6-16 | 2-9 | 4-4 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 3 | - |
| A. Johnson | 29 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| T. Crocker | 25 | 2-8 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | - |
| J. Pattillo | 24 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 9 | - |
| O. Leary | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. Davis | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| O. Allen | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Lawson | 36 | 6-13 | 2-4 | 5-6 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 19 | - |
| W. Ellington | 34 | 3-9 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 1 | - |
| D. Green | 32 | 6-9 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 15 | - |
| D. Thompson | 26 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 3 | - |
| T. Hansbrough | 26 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 13 | - |
| E. Davis | 16 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| B. Frasor | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| T. Zeller | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| J. Watts | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Campbell | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| L. Drew II | 2 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| P. Moody | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Copeland | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J.B. Tanner | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter