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2009-03-21

Model Predictions

Model Michigan Wolverines Oklahoma Sooners Spread Result
Elo 56.5% 43.5% -
Bradley-Terry 50.0% 50.0% -
Margin 48.9% 51.1% +0.2 (9.8 off)
Pythagorean 35.9% 64.1% -
Efficiency 3.0% 97.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 30.9% 69.1% -
Log Adjusted 30.9% 69.1% -

Actual: Oklahoma Sooners +10 (73-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Michigan Wolverines

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Douglass 30 2-10 1-7 0-1 5 2 0 0 2 5 0 -
D. Sims 26 6-11 1-1 1-1 6 1 1 0 4 14 7 -
C.J. Lee 26 3-6 2-4 3-3 4 2 0 0 1 11 10 -
A. Wright 25 5-7 3-4 1-2 3 1 1 0 1 14 11 -
Z. Novak 23 1-5 1-4 0-0 4 0 0 0 2 3 0 -
M. Harris 21 3-9 1-3 4-4 2 3 1 0 2 11 6 -
D. Merritt 14 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 0 1 -
Z. Gibson 14 2-4 1-3 0-0 3 0 1 1 1 5 5 -
J. Shepherd 11 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 0 -2 -
L. Lucas-Perry 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 0 4 -
K. Grady 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
E. Puls 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Oklahoma Sooners

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Johnson 40 4-8 3-6 1-2 5 1 1 1 1 12 11 -
B. Griffin 39 14-20 0-0 5-10 17 3 1 1 3 33 32 -
T. Griffin 38 2-6 0-0 3-4 7 1 2 2 3 7 10 -
W. Warren 36 5-10 3-7 3-5 1 4 0 0 1 16 10 -
T. Crocker 29 0-4 0-4 4-4 2 6 1 0 1 4 8 -
O. Leary 12 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 3 0 0 1 0 0 -
C. Davis 3 0-0 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 0 1 2 -
J. Pattillo 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
R. Wright 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
T.J. Franklin 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
O. Allen 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter