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2009-03-19

Model Predictions

Model Michigan Wolverines Clemson Tigers Spread Result
Elo 32.7% 67.3% -
Bradley-Terry 58.1% 41.9% -
Margin 64.6% 35.4% -3.3 (0.3 off)
Pythagorean 36.6% 63.4% -
Efficiency 12.2% 87.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 24.8% 75.2% -
Log Adjusted 24.8% 75.2% -

Actual: Clemson Tigers -3 (59-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Michigan Wolverines

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Harris 36 7-15 3-6 6-6 7 6 0 1 3 23 19 -
Z. Novak 33 2-6 2-5 1-2 4 4 0 0 1 7 8 -
S. Douglass 33 3-8 1-5 5-6 3 2 1 0 2 12 8 -
D. Sims 31 4-12 1-2 0-0 3 0 2 1 0 9 3 -
C.J. Lee 21 2-3 2-3 0-0 1 3 0 0 4 6 3 -
D. Merritt 15 0-2 0-2 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 0 0 -
Z. Gibson 10 1-1 0-0 0-0 4 0 2 1 1 2 7 -
A. Wright 10 1-1 1-1 0-1 4 0 0 0 0 3 6 -
L. Lucas-Perry 7 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
K. Grady 4 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -

Clemson Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Booker 32 7-10 0-0 4-6 11 1 2 1 0 18 23 -
K.C. Rivers 31 3-13 1-5 6-6 9 2 3 2 1 13 15 -
A. Young 26 3-7 3-5 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 9 6 -
D. Stitt 24 1-6 0-1 0-0 4 6 1 0 3 2 4 -
T. Smith 20 0-3 0-1 0-0 3 0 1 0 2 0 -1 -
J. Grant 18 1-5 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 3 2 2 4 -
D. Potter 16 0-7 0-3 2-2 1 1 0 0 0 2 -3 -
R. Sykes 15 4-5 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 8 6 -
T. Oglesby 13 1-8 1-7 0-0 2 1 0 0 3 3 -5 -
B. Narcisse 5 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 2 3 -

* = starter