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2009-03-23

Model Predictions

Model Purdue Boilermakers North Carolina Tar Heels Spread Result
Elo 9.4% 90.6% -
Bradley-Terry 34.1% 65.9% -
Margin 18.3% 81.7% +8.2 (23.2 off)
Pythagorean 39.8% 60.2% -

Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels -15 (70-85). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Purdue Boilermakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Freeman 0 6-9 0-0 4-4 6 2 0 0 0 16 15 -
L. Wisdom-Hylton 0 6-9 0-0 6-9 8 6 0 4 3 18 24 -
D. Campbell 0 2-4 0-0 8-8 7 1 1 2 1 12 18 -
F. Malone 0 3-6 2-2 4-4 5 4 1 0 9 12 7 -
J. Howell 0 1-4 0-2 0-0 2 3 1 0 2 2 2 -

North Carolina Tar Heels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Breland 0 7-16 0-0 1-2 10 0 2 2 1 15 12 -
I. Mcfarland 0 1-4 0-0 0-0 3 0 2 1 1 2 3 -
R. Mccants 0 3-15 0-1 0-0 5 2 2 0 3 6 -3 -
I. Lucas 0 9-18 2-5 1-1 2 1 3 0 3 21 6 -
C. DeGraffenreid 0 2-10 0-2 5-5 2 3 3 0 1 9 6 -

* = starter