Model Predictions
| Model | Gonzaga Bulldogs | North Carolina Tar Heels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 60.4% | 39.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 62.5% | 37.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 63.5% | 36.5% | -3.0 | ✗ (24.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.5% | 48.5% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 61.9% | 38.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 53.7% | 46.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 53.8% | 46.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +21 (98-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Gonzaga Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Daye | 32 | 3-8 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 16 | - |
| M. Bouldin | 30 | 3-10 | 0-5 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 0 | - |
| J. Pargo | 29 | 6-10 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 9 | - |
| J. Heytvelt | 29 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 4-8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 2 | - |
| M. Downs | 28 | 5-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 14 | - |
| S. Gray | 26 | 3-9 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | - |
| D. Goodson | 19 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| I. Brown | 4 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 9 | - |
| A. Sorenson | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - |
| W. Foster | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|
* = starter