Model Predictions
| Model | LSU Tigers | North Carolina Tar Heels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 29.8% | 70.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 26.8% | 73.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 15.6% | 84.4% | +9.3 | ✓ (4.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 33.1% | 66.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +14 (84-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
LSU Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Temple | 38 | 2-8 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 9 | - |
| M. Thornton | 35 | 10-22 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 8 | - |
| B. Spencer | 34 | 3-9 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 2 | - |
| C. Johnson | 31 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 7 | - |
| T. Mitchell | 31 | 8-14 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 12 | - |
| Q. Thornton | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| T. Martin | 11 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| C. Bass | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| S. Warren | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Z. Kinsley | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| A. Farrer | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Graham | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W. Ellington | 37 | 9-16 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 23 | 15 | - |
| T. Hansbrough | 34 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 12 | - |
| D. Green | 32 | 3-10 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 9 | - |
| T. Lawson | 31 | 7-13 | 2-3 | 7-7 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 19 | - |
| E. Davis | 25 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 11 | - |
| B. Frasor | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - |
| D. Thompson | 15 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| T. Zeller | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| L. Drew II | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Watts | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| M. Copeland | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter