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2009-03-19

Model Predictions

Model Butler Bulldogs LSU Tigers Spread Result
Elo 27.6% 72.4% -
Bradley-Terry 43.1% 56.9% -
Margin 32.3% 67.7% +4.1 (0.1 off)
Pythagorean 55.6% 44.4% -
Efficiency 88.2% 11.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 73.2% 26.8% -
Log Adjusted 73.3% 26.7% -

Actual: LSU Tigers +4 (75-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Butler Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
G. Hayward 39 4-10 4-8 0-0 6 4 0 1 2 12 11 -
S. Mack 36 5-12 3-6 5-7 8 3 2 0 1 18 18 -
R. Nored 33 2-6 0-2 0-0 1 3 0 0 3 4 -1 -
W. Veasley 28 3-6 1-3 0-0 4 0 0 0 3 7 2 -
M. Howard 25 6-10 0-0 10-13 8 1 1 0 3 22 19 -
A. Jukes 14 2-4 0-2 2-4 4 0 0 0 1 6 5 -
S. Vanzant 11 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 -
G. Butcher 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -2 -
Z. Hahn 7 0-2 0-1 2-2 1 0 0 0 0 2 1 -

LSU Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Spencer 39 3-10 1-6 2-3 4 5 3 0 2 9 9 -
T. Mitchell 37 7-14 0-0 0-2 7 1 2 1 3 14 8 -
M. Thornton 36 10-15 3-4 7-8 6 4 4 0 1 30 28 -
G. Temple 32 1-4 1-2 2-2 2 3 1 1 0 5 8 -
C. Johnson 26 4-8 0-0 4-6 6 0 1 4 3 12 12 -
T. Martin 15 2-4 1-2 0-0 2 0 0 1 1 5 3 -
Q. Thornton 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
A. Farrer 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 0 2 -
C. Bass 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
S. Warren 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter