Model Predictions
| Model | Michigan State Spartans | UConn Huskies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 32.7% | 67.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.1% | 60.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 25.2% | 74.8% | +6.0 | ✗ (15.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.0% | 58.0% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 19.9% | 80.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 25.7% | 74.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 25.3% | 74.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: UConn Huskies -9 (73-82). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Lucas | 33 | 7-15 | 3-6 | 4-6 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 10 | - |
| R. Morgan | 30 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 9 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 20 | - |
| G. Suton | 28 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8 | - |
| D. Summers | 23 | 4-9 | 1-5 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 8 | - |
| T. Walton | 23 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| D. Roe | 21 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 10 | - |
| D. Green | 12 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| K. Lucious | 9 | 3-8 | 2-5 | 3-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 3 | - |
| C. Allen | 9 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -3 | - |
| I. Ibok | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| M. Gray | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
UConn Huskies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Austrie | 37 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| H. Thabeet | 36 | 6-13 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 13 | - |
| A.J. Price | 32 | 5-20 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 2 | - |
| J. Adrien | 32 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 3-7 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 11 | - |
| S. Robinson | 31 | 5-6 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 19 | - |
| K. Walker | 20 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3-9 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 1 | - |
| G. Edwards | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | - |
| D. Beverly | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter