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Texas Longhorns 69
@
Duke Blue Devils 74
2009-03-21

Model Predictions

Model Texas Longhorns Duke Blue Devils Spread Result
Elo 18.7% 81.3% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 27.7% 72.3% - ✓
Margin 19.5% 80.5% +7.8 ✓ (2.8 off)
Pythagorean 40.9% 59.1% - ✓
Efficiency 24.9% 75.1% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 18.7% 81.3% - ✓
Log Adjusted 18.9% 81.1% - ✓

Actual: Duke Blue Devils +5 (74-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Texas Longhorns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A.J. Abrams 40 5-13 2-6 5-5 5 2 2 0 0 17 13 -
D. James 34 6-13 1-4 2-3 10 2 0 2 6 15 10 -
D. Balbay 32 1-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 4 2 -1 -
J. Mason 22 1-1 0-0 1-2 1 2 1 0 2 3 4 -
D. Pittman 22 3-5 0-0 2-5 8 1 0 0 1 8 11 -
V. Ward 21 7-8 0-0 2-3 1 1 1 0 1 16 10 -
G. Johnson 21 1-5 0-0 4-6 4 0 0 0 0 6 5 -
C. Atchley 6 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 1 1 0 -1 -
C. Chapman 2 1-1 0-0 0-1 2 0 1 0 0 2 4 -

Duke Blue Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
G. Henderson 36 7-21 0-3 10-13 6 1 0 0 1 24 9 -
J. Scheyer 34 4-9 3-5 2-2 2 2 3 0 2 13 9 -
K. Singler 33 6-12 3-5 2-2 7 1 2 1 3 17 13 -
N. Smith 29 3-6 1-1 4-4 2 3 1 0 1 11 10 -
L. Thomas 25 1-1 0-0 3-4 6 1 0 0 0 5 11 -
E. Williams 22 1-3 0-0 0-2 4 0 1 0 0 2 4 -
B. Zoubek 13 1-1 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 1 2 2 5 -
D. McClure 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
G. Paulus 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter