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2009-03-28

Model Predictions

Model Missouri Tigers UConn Huskies Spread Result
Elo 5.5% 94.5% -
Bradley-Terry 23.8% 76.2% -
Margin 10.1% 89.9% +12.0 (5.0 off)
Pythagorean 38.2% 61.8% -
Efficiency 18.0% 82.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 5.9% 94.1% -
Log Adjusted 5.8% 94.2% -

Actual: UConn Huskies +7 (82-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Missouri Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Z. Taylor 36 3-13 1-4 1-2 2 4 2 0 0 8 3 -
M. Lawrence 27 5-12 3-7 0-0 3 2 1 0 1 13 6 -
J.T. Tiller 26 3-4 0-0 2-4 5 5 2 0 0 8 16 -
L. Lyons 25 5-11 0-1 3-4 2 4 2 0 3 13 7 -
D. Carroll 24 6-14 0-3 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 12 2 -
K. Ramsey 17 4-5 0-0 0-1 3 3 2 1 1 8 11 -
J. Safford 15 4-8 1-2 0-1 3 0 0 0 0 9 4 -
M. Denmon 14 1-3 0-1 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 2 3 -
K. English 8 0-4 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 -3 -
M. Paul 5 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 2 1 -
L. Bowers 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 -
M. Anderson Jr. 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

UConn Huskies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Adrien 39 5-8 0-0 2-2 10 4 2 3 4 12 19 -
S. Robinson 34 4-7 0-1 5-6 6 0 0 4 1 13 15 -
A.J. Price 34 6-17 1-6 5-7 3 3 0 0 4 18 3 -
C. Austrie 27 1-4 1-4 4-4 1 1 1 0 3 7 3 -
H. Thabeet 26 2-4 0-0 1-3 13 2 0 0 2 5 14 -
K. Walker 25 7-9 0-1 9-10 5 5 0 0 2 23 22 -
G. Edwards 13 1-3 0-0 0-0 7 0 0 1 1 2 6 -
D. Beverly 2 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -

* = starter