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2009-03-26

Model Predictions

Model Purdue Boilermakers UConn Huskies Spread Result
Elo 40.4% 59.6% -
Bradley-Terry 37.6% 62.4% -
Margin 21.2% 78.8% +7.2 (4.8 off)
Pythagorean 43.2% 56.8% -
Efficiency 24.6% 75.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 22.8% 77.2% -
Log Adjusted 22.5% 77.5% -

Actual: UConn Huskies +12 (72-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Purdue Boilermakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Hummel 35 7-17 3-10 0-0 5 1 3 0 0 17 9 -
E. Moore 32 3-10 1-4 0-0 3 0 0 1 3 7 -2 -
J. Johnson 29 5-12 0-0 3-4 7 3 1 1 2 13 11 -
C. Kramer 27 2-4 0-1 1-3 1 3 2 0 0 5 7 -
L. Jackson 25 3-5 0-0 2-4 5 2 0 0 4 8 6 -
K. Grant 22 1-8 1-4 0-0 4 1 0 0 0 3 0 -
N. Calasan 14 1-5 0-2 0-0 4 1 0 0 0 2 2 -
M. Green 13 1-4 0-1 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 2 2 -
C. Reid 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
B. Riddell 1 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 -
R. Smith 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

UConn Huskies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Robinson 37 5-9 0-0 0-1 11 2 0 0 1 10 13 -
H. Thabeet 36 6-7 0-0 3-6 15 0 1 4 4 15 24 -
A.J. Price 34 5-15 0-3 5-9 4 7 2 0 2 15 11 -
C. Austrie 32 4-6 3-3 6-6 2 4 1 0 2 17 16 -
J. Adrien 28 3-13 0-0 2-4 6 2 0 1 3 8 1 -
K. Walker 20 1-3 0-0 3-4 3 4 2 0 0 5 11 -
G. Edwards 9 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 1 -
D. Beverly 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
S. Haralson 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
J. Veronick 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 -

* = starter