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2009-03-19

Model Predictions

Model Mississippi State Bulldogs Washington Huskies Spread Result
Elo 51.6% 48.4% -
Bradley-Terry 51.6% 48.4% -
Margin 44.5% 55.5% +1.2 (11.8 off)
Pythagorean 38.8% 61.2% -
Efficiency 28.3% 71.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 14.6% 85.4% -
Log Adjusted 14.5% 85.5% -

Actual: Washington Huskies +13 (71-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Mississippi State Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Stewart 32 4-6 2-3 4-4 1 0 1 0 2 14 8 -
D. Bost 32 1-10 0-3 3-5 3 4 1 0 2 5 1 -
R. Johnson 30 3-13 1-5 0-0 3 0 1 0 3 7 -5 -
J. Varnado 22 3-7 0-0 1-2 3 0 0 5 2 7 6 -
P. Turner 22 3-7 2-5 0-0 8 0 0 0 0 8 9 -
B. Johnson 18 1-4 0-0 3-4 6 1 1 1 2 5 8 -
K. Augustus 16 4-9 0-1 1-2 7 0 1 0 1 9 7 -
R. Osby 12 1-1 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 0 1 3 3 -
R. Benock 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -2 -
T. Beckham 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 0 -1 -
T. Luczak 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
B. Bolen 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Washington Huskies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Q. Pondexter 35 9-17 0-0 5-6 8 2 2 0 3 23 15 -
I. Thomas 32 3-13 0-4 3-4 2 5 1 0 3 9 1 -
J. Dentmon 31 1-6 0-2 2-2 3 1 0 0 2 4 0 -
J. Brockman 26 4-8 0-0 2-5 14 1 0 0 2 10 15 -
D. Gant 22 2-4 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 2 4 2 -
E. Turner Jr. 18 3-4 1-2 0-0 1 3 0 0 1 7 6 -
V. Overton 15 3-3 1-1 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 7 7 -
M. Bryan-Amaning 13 2-5 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 0 1 4 2 -
J. Holiday 6 0-2 0-0 2-2 0 0 1 0 0 2 1 -
J. Wolfinger 1 0-0 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 -
A. Wallace 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
S. Suggs 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter