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2009-03-19

Model Predictions

Model Northern Iowa Panthers Purdue Boilermakers Spread Result
Elo 2.0% 98.0% -
Bradley-Terry 18.1% 81.9% -
Margin 7.7% 92.3% +13.7 (8.7 off)
Pythagorean 47.9% 52.1% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 6.7% 93.3% -
Log Adjusted 6.5% 93.5% -

Actual: Purdue Boilermakers +5 (61-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Northern Iowa Panthers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Koch 31 3-14 1-5 0-0 3 6 1 1 5 7 -1 -
J. Moran 30 3-6 2-4 0-0 5 5 3 1 1 8 15 -
K. Ahelegbe 30 3-6 0-1 5-6 1 2 0 0 2 11 6 -
A. Farokhmanesh 27 4-10 2-6 0-0 3 0 1 0 2 10 2 -
J. Eglseder 22 5-10 0-1 3-3 5 0 0 1 1 13 8 -
K. Dunham 21 2-4 2-3 1-2 3 0 0 0 1 7 5 -
L. O'Rear 19 0-2 0-1 0-0 7 1 1 0 1 0 6 -
T. Brown 16 0-2 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
A. Rodenberg 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

Purdue Boilermakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E. Moore 39 4-10 1-4 8-9 2 2 2 0 3 17 10 -
R. Hummel 32 4-10 0-2 1-2 10 1 1 1 1 9 11 -
J. Johnson 28 7-10 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 2 14 6 -
K. Grant 28 2-8 1-5 1-3 4 2 0 1 1 6 4 -
C. Kramer 26 1-3 0-0 2-2 6 3 2 0 1 4 11 -
L. Jackson 25 1-4 0-1 3-4 3 2 3 0 2 5 7 -
N. Calasan 11 1-5 1-3 1-2 1 0 0 0 0 4 0 -
M. Green 11 1-1 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 2 5 -

* = starter