Model Predictions
| Model | Army Black Knights | SMU Mustangs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 14.5% | 85.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 36.8% | 63.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 8.6% | 91.4% | +13.0 | ✓ (5.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.1% | 56.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 7.3% | 92.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 7.1% | 92.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 25.8% | 74.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: SMU Mustangs +8 (71-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Army Black Knights
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Miller | 36 | 5-10 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 9 | - |
| C. Richard | 34 | 5-15 | 0-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 2 | - |
| J. Simmons | 28 | 5-10 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 7 | - |
| M. Nelson | 27 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| E. Zastoupil | 23 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| E. Ellis | 18 | 3-7 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 2 | - |
| C. Walker | 14 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| J. Hence | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| J. Sizemore | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Springer | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| N. Hedgecock | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| M. McDonald | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
SMU Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. Dia | 37 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 7-9 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 19 | 29 | - |
| M. Faye | 36 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 8 | - |
| D. Williams | 35 | 4-8 | 3-6 | 9-10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 12 | - |
| P. McCoy | 33 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | - |
| J. Haynes | 30 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 11 | - |
| R. Harp | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| R. Clinkscales | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| R. Nyakundi | 7 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| M. Walker | 5 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
* = starter