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2009-12-31

Model Predictions

Model Ohio State Buckeyes Wisconsin Badgers Spread Result
Elo 29.7% 70.3% -
Bradley-Terry 58.2% 41.8% -
Margin 56.1% 43.9% -1.4 (23.4 off)
Pythagorean 48.9% 51.1% -
Efficiency 72.0% 28.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 55.0% 45.0% -
Log Adjusted 54.3% 45.7% -

Actual: Wisconsin Badgers +22 (65-43). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Ohio State Buckeyes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Diebler 40 2-7 1-5 3-4 2 1 3 0 3 8 4 -
D. Lighty 37 2-7 1-3 5-7 5 1 3 1 4 10 9 -
W. Buford 33 7-16 0-0 0-2 8 1 0 0 2 14 5 -
P.J. Hill 32 2-4 2-2 2-2 2 2 2 0 1 8 9 -
D. Lauderdale 30 0-4 0-0 1-2 4 0 0 2 1 1 2 -
J. Simmons 15 1-4 0-2 0-1 1 0 0 0 0 2 -1 -
K. Madsen 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
N. Kecman 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 0 1 -
Z. Sarikopoulos 3 0-0 0-0 0-1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Wisconsin Badgers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Bohannon 36 3-9 2-7 0-1 4 3 3 1 0 8 10 -
T. Hughes 34 5-10 3-5 3-4 7 3 1 1 3 16 15 -
J. Taylor 26 3-7 2-4 4-5 3 3 2 0 0 12 13 -
K. Nankivil 22 4-6 1-2 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 9 7 -
T. Jarmusz 22 0-1 0-1 0-0 5 0 0 0 1 0 3 -
R. Evans 20 2-5 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 1 4 1 -
J. Leuer 18 3-5 1-1 4-4 2 5 0 0 3 11 10 -
R. Wilson 13 1-2 1-1 2-2 4 1 0 0 1 5 7 -
B. Valentyn 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Berggren 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
M. Bruesewitz 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
W. Smith 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
D. Fahey 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter