๐Ÿปโฌ‡๏ธ๐Ÿ€

@
2009-12-31

Model Predictions

Model Pennsylvania Quakers Duke Blue Devils Spread Result
Elo 0.5% 99.5% +35.4 โœ“ (23.6 off)
Bradley-Terry 1.6% 98.4% - โœ“
Margin 0.1% 99.9% +38.8 โœ“ (20.2 off)
Pythagorean 11.1% 88.9% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 3.4% 96.6% - โœ“

Actual: Duke Blue Devils +59 (114-55). Ratings: 2009-10 season-end ratings.

Pennsylvania Quakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Eggleston 34 5-15 0-3 3-4 5 4 0 0 4 13 3 -
Zack Rosen 34 3-6 2-4 2-2 3 2 2 0 0 10 11 -
R. Belcore 32 2-8 1-5 0-0 4 2 3 0 3 5 3 -
Darren Smith 27 4-12 2-7 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 10 -1 -
B. Fitzpatrick 17 2-3 0-0 3-4 2 1 0 0 1 7 6 -
D. Monckton 15 1-5 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 0 3 2 -2 -
J. Reilly 14 3-5 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 6 2 -
C. Turley 12 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 2 0 0 3 2 0 -
M. Washington 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -2 -
C. Sullivan 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
T. Eggleston 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
Z. Gordon 3 0-3 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -4 -
S. Mullan 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Duke Blue Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kyle Singler 28 6-10 2-5 6-6 5 5 1 1 0 20 22 -
Jon Scheyer 28 4-9 3-7 8-8 4 11 1 0 4 19 22 -
Nolan Smith 26 8-11 4-5 3-4 2 1 2 0 3 23 14 -
Mason Plumlee 21 7-10 0-0 4-7 7 2 4 0 1 18 20 -
Andre Dawkins 20 2-7 1-4 5-5 4 0 0 0 0 10 7 -
B. Zoubek 17 4-5 0-0 0-0 6 1 1 0 2 8 9 -
Miles Plumlee 17 3-4 0-0 3-4 10 1 0 0 2 9 14 -
Ryan Kelly 15 1-3 0-0 0-0 1 1 2 1 0 2 4 -
Lance Thomas 15 1-1 0-0 1-2 1 1 1 0 0 3 5 -
Jordan Davidson 6 0-0 0-0 1-2 1 1 0 0 0 1 3 -
S. Johnson 5 0-0 0-0 1-2 1 0 1 0 0 1 3 -
C. Peters 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter