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2009-12-31

Model Predictions

Model Michigan Wolverines Indiana Hoosiers Spread Result
Elo 63.4% 36.6% -
Bradley-Terry 49.5% 50.5% -
Margin 44.5% 55.5% +1.2 (4.8 off)
Pythagorean 71.7% 28.3% -
Efficiency 94.3% 5.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 87.4% 12.6% -
Log Adjusted 87.5% 12.5% -

Actual: Indiana Hoosiers +6 (71-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Michigan Wolverines

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Douglass 40 6-11 4-6 0-0 1 1 1 0 2 16 6 -
Z. Novak 39 5-10 4-9 4-5 9 3 2 1 0 18 23 -
D. Sims 32 5-12 0-2 2-4 3 2 0 0 2 12 3 -
M. Harris 30 4-11 1-5 4-4 1 3 0 0 3 13 3 -
L. Lucas-Perry 21 0-4 0-2 0-0 4 5 0 0 0 0 5 -
D. Morris 20 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 2 2 2 3 -
Z. Gibson 8 1-1 0-0 2-2 5 0 0 1 1 4 8 -
A. Wright 5 0-4 0-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -3 -
M. Vogrich 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 0 -1 -

Indiana Hoosiers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
V. Jones III 35 7-14 1-1 5-8 8 5 3 0 2 20 20 -
J. Rivers 35 1-4 0-0 2-5 9 2 2 1 2 4 12 -
J. Hulls 35 1-5 1-5 8-8 5 2 0 0 1 11 12 -
C. Watford 27 7-12 0-0 5-8 3 1 1 0 1 19 11 -
T. Pritchard 23 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 1 2 2 3 -
D. Dumes 22 4-9 3-7 0-0 1 2 2 0 1 11 6 -
D. Elston 10 2-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 4 4 -
D. Moore 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 0 2 -
B. Capobianco 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter