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2009-12-31

Model Predictions

Model Arizona State Sun Devils UCLA Bruins Spread Result
Elo 44.5% 55.5% +0.6 โœ“ (1.4 off)
Bradley-Terry 60.6% 39.4% - โœ—
Margin 69.6% 30.4% -4.6 โœ— (6.6 off)
Pythagorean 62.5% 37.5% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 83.3% 16.7% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 83.6% 16.4% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 60.2% 39.8% - โœ—

Actual: UCLA Bruins +2 (72-70). Ratings: 2009-10 season-end ratings.

Arizona State Sun Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. McMillan 36 3-9 2-6 0-0 3 4 0 0 1 8 5 -
Ty Abbott 36 3-10 1-4 5-5 6 1 1 0 0 12 10 -
Rihards Kuksiks 32 6-12 3-8 0-0 2 1 1 0 1 15 6 -
E. Boateng 29 4-5 0-0 1-2 6 1 0 1 0 9 12 -
D. Glasser 27 4-10 2-5 2-2 2 3 0 0 2 12 5 -
D. Walker 16 2-3 1-1 3-4 2 1 0 1 2 8 7 -
T. Rohde 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
Trent Lockett 6 1-3 0-0 0-1 0 0 1 0 0 2 0 -
Jerren Shipp 4 1-3 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 -1 -
V. Rudd 4 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -

UCLA Bruins

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Roll 37 4-5 4-4 0-1 3 4 0 0 2 12 12 -
Jerime Anderson 36 3-4 0-0 4-6 6 6 0 1 2 10 17 -
Malcolm Lee 36 5-8 1-4 5-7 2 3 0 1 4 16 10 -
Reeves Nelson 32 3-5 0-0 4-7 6 0 1 3 0 10 15 -
Nikola Dragovic 32 7-11 6-8 3-3 3 1 0 0 4 23 12 -
J. Keefe 12 0-0 0-0 1-2 3 1 0 0 0 1 5 -
Tyler Honeycutt 11 0-2 0-1 0-2 2 2 0 1 1 0 2 -
J'mison Morgan 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
B. Lane 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter