Model Predictions
| Model | Chicago State Cougars | Southern Jaguars | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 50.6% | 49.4% | -1.1 | ✗ (8.1 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 52.8% | 47.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 48.4% | 51.6% | +0.4 | ✓ (6.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.4% | 49.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 51.1% | 48.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 51.7% | 48.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 48.8% | 51.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Southern Jaguars +7 (67-60). Ratings: 2009-10 season-end ratings.
Chicago State Cougars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Montgomery | 32 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 12 | - |
| C. Wall | 30 | 6-11 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 10 | - |
| J. Montgomery | 28 | 1-6 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -1 | - |
| D. Windham | 24 | 2-10 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| A. Lofton | 23 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| H. Martin | 18 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - |
| K. Kasamba | 18 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | -3 | - |
| V. Scott | 18 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| S. Martin Jr. | 14 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - |
| A. Roberts | 11 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | - |
| B. Smith | 7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| M. Young | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| P. Kielbasa | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Southern Jaguars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Jones | 33 | 3-8 | 1-1 | 5-7 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 15 | - |
| N. Walls | 27 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Douglas Scott | 25 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Q. Doggett | 25 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 13 | - |
| Jazz Williams | 21 | 4-11 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 2 | - |
| B. White | 19 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| N. Nixon Jr. | 16 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| T. McGilveary | 14 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 1-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - |
| J. Grace | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Ingram | 6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| M. Bol | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter