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2009-12-30

Model Predictions

Model Chicago State Cougars Southern Jaguars Spread Result
Elo 16.4% 83.6% -
Bradley-Terry 30.2% 69.8% -
Margin 13.6% 86.4% +10.2 (3.2 off)

Actual: Southern Jaguars +7 (67-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Chicago State Cougars

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Montgomery 32 4-10 0-0 5-6 8 1 1 4 5 13 12 -
C. Wall 30 6-11 2-4 2-4 3 2 3 0 3 16 10 -
J. Montgomery 28 1-6 1-6 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 3 -1 -
D. Windham 24 2-10 0-0 4-6 7 2 1 0 1 8 7 -
A. Lofton 23 2-7 0-0 0-2 5 2 1 0 1 4 4 -
H. Martin 18 3-6 0-0 1-3 3 0 0 1 0 7 5 -
K. Kasamba 18 0-2 0-0 1-2 1 1 0 0 4 1 -3 -
V. Scott 18 1-4 1-4 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 3 2 -
S. Martin Jr. 14 2-3 0-0 1-1 0 0 0 0 0 5 2 -
A. Roberts 11 2-5 1-4 0-2 1 0 0 0 0 5 1 -
B. Smith 7 2-3 0-0 1-1 0 1 0 0 0 5 3 -
M. Young 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
P. Kielbasa 2 0-0 0-0 0-1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Southern Jaguars

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E. Jones 33 3-8 1-1 5-7 14 2 0 0 5 12 15 -
N. Walls 27 1-6 0-1 2-4 3 8 1 0 4 4 6 -
D. Scott 25 4-7 0-0 2-4 7 2 0 0 2 10 10 -
Q. Doggett 25 3-7 0-0 2-4 7 0 0 6 1 8 13 -
J. Williams 21 4-11 2-7 2-2 0 1 0 0 0 12 2 -
B. White 19 2-5 0-0 1-2 3 2 0 0 1 5 4 -
N. Nixon Jr. 16 2-5 2-5 0-0 1 1 1 0 1 6 3 -
T. McGilveary 14 3-6 1-2 1-4 3 0 0 0 0 8 5 -
J. Grace 13 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 0 1 0 0 -
J. Ingram 6 0-3 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
M. Bol 1 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -

* = starter