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2009-12-30

Model Predictions

Model UConn Huskies Cincinnati Bearcats Spread Result
Elo 90.8% 9.2% -
Bradley-Terry 64.1% 35.9% -
Margin 77.0% 23.0% -6.7 (8.7 off)
Pythagorean 50.7% 49.3% -
Efficiency 71.1% 28.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 58.9% 41.1% -
Log Adjusted 59.4% 40.6% -

Actual: Cincinnati Bearcats +2 (71-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UConn Huskies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Robinson 35 9-18 3-4 1-2 7 0 3 0 1 22 13 -
J. Dyson 34 9-19 0-3 6-9 7 5 2 0 3 24 16 -
G. Edwards 32 1-4 0-0 6-9 7 0 1 0 0 8 12 -
K. Walker 30 3-11 1-3 2-2 2 3 1 0 4 9 0 -
A. Oriakhi 24 2-4 0-0 0-2 9 0 1 0 1 4 9 -
A. Majok 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 3 0 -1 -
J. Coombs-McDaniel 17 0-5 0-3 2-2 2 3 0 0 0 2 2 -
D. Beverly 8 0-3 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 0 2 0 -1 -

Cincinnati Bearcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Stephenson 32 7-18 0-1 7-7 4 3 0 0 1 21 9 -
I. Thomas 29 1-7 0-0 4-8 9 0 1 2 0 6 11 -
D. Vaughn 29 6-11 3-5 2-2 5 5 2 0 4 17 14 -
S. Toyloy 25 1-2 0-0 1-2 5 0 0 0 1 3 5 -
L. Davis 20 4-8 1-4 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 9 2 -
Y. Gates 18 3-6 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 2 3 6 4 -
R. Bishop 18 2-4 2-4 0-0 2 1 1 1 2 6 5 -
D. Dixon 15 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 4 2 0 0 0 5 -
D. Wilks 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 1 0 2 -
C. Wright 6 1-3 1-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 3 3 -1 -
A. McClain 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter