Model Predictions
| Model | UMBC Retrievers | Central Connecticut Blue Devils | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 25.6% | 74.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 21.3% | 78.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 24.3% | 75.7% | +6.2 | ✓ (3.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 23.3% | 76.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 28.9% | 71.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 28.8% | 71.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 35.9% | 64.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Central Connecticut Blue Devils +3 (89-86). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UMBC Retrievers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. De La Rosa | 47 | 11-15 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 25 | 15 | - |
| C. Gilliam | 40 | 4-10 | 0-3 | 4-5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 8 | - |
| R. Jackson | 37 | 8-15 | 0-0 | 8-9 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 24 | 26 | - |
| M. Spadafora | 36 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 8 | - |
| S. Grant | 35 | 5-12 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 2 | - |
| A. Satchell | 30 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | - |
| N. Groce | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| B. Neller | 9 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| B. Smith | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| J. Wasco | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
Central Connecticut Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Ptacek | 48 | 10-21 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 23 | 8 | - |
| S. Thompson | 45 | 4-12 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 7 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 15 | - |
| V. Rosario | 41 | 5-13 | 4-12 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 8 | - |
| D. Simmons | 39 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 15 | - |
| J. Seymore | 24 | 5-9 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 7 | - |
| D. Bailey | 19 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| M. Deans | 19 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| C. Baskerville | 9 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| J. Efese | 5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| J. Tull | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter