Model Predictions
| Model | Northwestern Wildcats | Illinois Fighting Illini | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 6.4% | 93.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 41.3% | 58.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 35.4% | 64.6% | +3.3 | ✓ (2.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.3% | 47.7% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 10.9% | 89.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 47.7% | 52.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 47.7% | 52.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Illinois Fighting Illini +6 (89-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Northwestern Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Thompson | 45 | 2-10 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 11 | - |
| J. Shurna | 44 | 9-23 | 4-9 | 5-5 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 27 | 15 | - |
| J. Nash | 43 | 5-14 | 5-12 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 8 | - |
| L. Mirkovic | 29 | 3-13 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| D. Crawford | 28 | 5-13 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 8 | - |
| A. Marcotullio | 21 | 4-9 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 7 | - |
| K. Rowley | 15 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | - |
| N. Fruendt | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Illinois Fighting Illini
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Davis | 42 | 9-14 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 24 | - |
| D.J. Richardson | 41 | 3-9 | 1-5 | 5-6 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 11 | - |
| D. McCamey | 39 | 3-9 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 10 | - |
| M. Tisdale | 39 | 11-14 | 0-0 | 9-11 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 31 | 30 | - |
| B. Cole | 27 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 6 | - |
| B. Paul | 18 | 2-7 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 2 | - |
| J. Jordan | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| D. Keller | 7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| T. Griffey | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter