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2009-12-30

Model Predictions

Model UAB Blazers Virginia Cavaliers Spread Result
Elo 39.3% 60.7% +2.0 โœ“ (7.0 off)
Bradley-Terry 61.2% 38.8% - โœ—
Margin 39.7% 60.3% +2.3 โœ“ (6.7 off)
Pythagorean 53.8% 46.2% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 54.6% 45.4% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 54.1% 45.9% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 45.6% 54.4% - โœ“

Actual: Virginia Cavaliers +9 (72-63). Ratings: 2009-10 season-end ratings.

UAB Blazers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Aaron Johnson 39 2-7 0-0 1-4 4 5 1 0 2 5 6 -
G. Drake 37 1-4 0-3 0-0 2 0 0 0 3 2 -3 -
Jamarr Sanders 35 2-9 1-6 0-1 6 0 0 1 1 5 2 -
Elijah Millsap 34 13-22 1-2 0-0 11 1 1 0 4 27 14 -
H. Crawford 26 5-9 0-1 4-6 2 1 0 0 1 14 7 -
K. Cooper 16 2-2 0-0 0-4 2 0 1 0 2 4 3 -
D. Fields 5 1-3 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 -1 -
Ovie Soko 4 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
C. Moore 4 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -

Virginia Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Landesberg 34 6-16 0-0 7-10 6 4 0 1 2 19 12 -
S. Zeglinski 26 3-6 2-4 1-1 1 0 2 0 5 9 1 -
C. Baker 24 3-8 1-5 1-2 2 6 1 0 2 8 7 -
W. Sherrill 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 1 0 4 -
Mike Scott 23 4-7 0-0 2-2 7 0 0 0 1 10 9 -
Jontel Evans 21 3-4 1-1 2-2 0 3 2 0 0 9 10 -
Mustapha Farrakhan 21 3-5 2-3 2-2 2 2 1 2 0 10 12 -
Jerome Meyinsse 14 3-3 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 0 6 7 -
A. Sene 7 0-1 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 2 0 1 4 -
Jeff Jones 6 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -3 -

* = starter