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2009-12-30

Model Predictions

Model Maine Black Bears Columbia Lions Spread Result
Elo 63.7% 36.3% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 68.4% 31.6% - โœ“
Margin 60.8% 39.2% -2.4 โœ“ (3.6 off)
Pythagorean 60.3% 39.7% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 75.3% 24.7% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 75.4% 24.6% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 55.2% 44.8% - โœ“

Actual: Columbia Lions -6 (59-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Maine Black Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
G. McLemore 36 4-12 2-8 2-4 4 0 0 0 5 12 -1 -
S. McNally 34 6-9 0-0 4-5 7 1 3 0 0 16 18 -
J. Bernal 27 2-6 0-0 3-6 2 1 2 0 2 7 4 -
M. Burnatowski 25 3-5 1-1 4-4 4 1 2 0 1 11 12 -
T. Mitchell 25 2-6 1-3 9-11 1 0 0 0 3 14 6 -
T. Barnies 20 0-0 0-0 2-4 6 1 2 0 3 2 8 -
M. Allison 13 0-2 0-0 3-4 1 0 1 1 1 3 3 -
A. Rogers 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 1 0 1 0 3 -
M. Peay 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 2 0 0 0 2 -

Columbia Lions

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
N. Agho 33 1-8 1-3 1-3 3 0 2 0 6 4 -5 -
P. Foley 32 2-6 0-2 5-6 0 6 2 0 3 9 8 -
N. Scott 32 4-9 4-6 4-4 4 1 0 0 2 16 10 -
B. Grimes 31 4-13 0-2 6-6 8 1 0 2 3 14 9 -
J. Daniels 16 0-0 0-0 0-2 3 1 1 0 1 0 4 -
K. Bulger 15 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 2 0 1 0 1 -
M. Cisco 14 2-3 0-0 0-0 6 0 3 0 2 4 8 -
A. Ampim 10 1-3 0-0 1-2 7 1 0 0 4 3 4 -
M. Craig 8 0-3 0-0 3-4 3 0 1 0 0 3 4 -
S. Egee 6 1-1 1-1 3-3 0 0 0 0 0 6 5 -
M. Johnson 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter