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2009-12-30

Model Predictions

Model Albany Great Danes North Carolina Tar Heels Spread Result
Elo 4.2% 95.8% -
Bradley-Terry 7.9% 92.1% -
Margin 2.0% 98.0% +21.4 (4.4 off)
Efficiency 1.3% 98.7% -

Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +17 (87-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Albany Great Danes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
W. Harris 25 8-16 3-8 3-4 6 2 0 0 3 22 11 -
M. Black 24 3-7 0-1 4-4 1 5 3 0 2 10 10 -
S. McRae 21 1-7 0-3 0-0 1 1 1 1 0 2 -1 -
B. Allen 19 6-8 4-6 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 16 9 -
T. Ambrose 18 2-7 0-2 0-0 4 2 0 0 2 4 1 -
L. Aronhalt 18 3-10 1-5 0-0 4 4 0 1 2 7 4 -
B. Gifford 17 0-0 0-0 0-1 6 1 0 1 1 0 7 -
F. Urli 17 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 3 2 -2 -
B. Metcalf 17 1-2 0-0 1-2 8 0 0 1 1 3 9 -
D. Tartt 14 0-1 0-1 1-2 1 4 3 0 5 1 3 -
J. Lindfors 8 1-3 1-3 0-0 1 0 1 1 0 3 3 -
M. Johnson 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -

North Carolina Tar Heels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Drew II 28 3-4 1-1 2-2 4 6 1 0 3 9 13 -
D. Thompson 26 6-15 0-0 3-5 5 0 2 0 2 15 5 -
E. Davis 26 7-9 0-0 4-8 8 0 0 4 3 18 18 -
D. Strickland 21 0-2 0-0 3-4 2 5 1 0 3 3 6 -
T. Zeller 19 2-4 0-0 2-2 7 0 1 0 1 6 9 -
J. Henson 19 4-6 0-1 0-0 3 3 2 2 1 8 11 -
L. McDonald 17 4-10 0-1 1-1 3 2 1 0 0 9 5 -
W. Graves 13 3-7 3-6 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 9 4 -
D. Wear 10 2-4 0-1 2-2 2 0 1 0 2 6 3 -
T. Thornton 8 0-1 0-0 0-2 3 1 1 0 0 0 4 -
T. Wear 7 2-3 0-0 0-1 1 0 0 1 2 4 1 -
T. Petree 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
J. Gallagher 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
M. Campbell 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter