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2009-12-30

Model Predictions

Model UT Arlington Mavericks Michigan State Spartans Spread Result
Elo 5.1% 94.9% -
Bradley-Terry 8.0% 92.0% -
Margin 2.4% 97.6% +20.3 (1.3 off)
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -

Actual: Michigan State Spartans +19 (87-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UT Arlington Mavericks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Long 34 6-19 2-9 2-2 5 1 3 0 4 16 2 -
M. Haynes 32 6-11 3-5 5-5 3 5 1 0 3 20 15 -
J.D. Davis 32 1-7 0-0 2-4 7 0 0 2 3 4 3 -
I. Awange 31 4-6 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 1 3 8 4 -
C. Catlett 27 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 2 1 0 2 2 2 -
D. Gentry II 16 2-4 2-4 0-0 2 2 0 0 2 6 4 -
A. Williams 15 3-5 3-5 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 9 5 -
J. Reves 12 1-2 0-0 1-1 2 1 0 0 3 3 1 -
H. Makor 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Michigan State Spartans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Morgan 29 2-7 0-1 1-2 3 3 2 0 0 5 6 -
K. Lucas 29 6-9 1-2 3-4 0 1 2 0 1 16 9 -
D. Green 28 7-11 0-1 5-7 7 7 3 0 3 19 22 -
K. Lucious 23 1-4 1-3 0-0 3 6 1 0 1 3 8 -
D. Roe 21 2-4 0-0 1-5 8 1 0 2 1 5 11 -
D. Summers 18 7-13 1-4 5-5 2 0 1 0 2 20 8 -
C. Allen 18 5-8 4-7 0-0 4 1 0 0 2 14 9 -
G. Sherman 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 0 3 -
D. Nix 8 1-1 0-0 1-1 1 1 0 0 1 3 3 -
A. Thornton 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 0 0 -
I. Dahlman 4 0-1 0-1 2-2 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
M. Kebler 3 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 1 2 0 -2 -
T. Herzog 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 -
J. Crandell 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter