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2009-12-30

Model Predictions

Model Baylor Bears Arkansas Razorbacks Spread Result
Elo 48.9% 51.1% -
Bradley-Terry 65.9% 34.1% -
Margin 71.3% 28.7% -5.0 (18.0 off)
Pythagorean 66.6% 33.4% -
Efficiency 95.0% 5.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 91.5% 8.5% -
Log Adjusted 91.6% 8.4% -

Actual: Arkansas Razorbacks -23 (47-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Baylor Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E. Udoh 36 2-8 0-0 4-4 15 2 0 8 1 8 24 -
T. Carter 34 4-10 1-3 0-1 2 6 0 0 2 9 5 -
L. Dunn 33 6-13 4-8 3-4 1 2 2 1 3 19 9 -
A. Jones 28 3-9 0-2 0-1 8 2 0 0 1 6 6 -
Q. Acy 27 6-8 0-0 2-4 5 0 1 2 3 14 11 -
A.J. Walton 14 2-2 2-2 0-0 2 2 0 0 1 6 7 -
J. Lomers 14 3-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 1 1 6 6 -
N. Dennis 8 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
C. Jefferson 2 0-2 0-0 2-2 2 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
O. Griffin 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
D. Sekelja 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
G. Crump 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
F. Ellis 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Arkansas Razorbacks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Clarke 35 4-10 2-8 3-3 0 1 0 0 2 13 2 -
M. Britt 27 0-1 0-1 0-0 3 3 0 0 2 0 3 -
J. Farmer 26 4-12 0-0 3-4 10 2 2 0 2 11 11 -
M. Powell 23 6-15 0-0 2-4 6 1 1 1 1 14 7 -
D. Johnson 23 1-4 0-0 0-1 3 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
S. Welsh 23 1-8 0-3 0-1 0 3 0 0 2 2 -5 -
G. Bryant 16 2-5 0-2 1-2 6 1 1 2 2 5 8 -
J. Nobles 12 0-2 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 0 2 0 0 -
M. Washington 9 0-2 0-0 0-2 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
S. Cox 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 0 2 -

* = starter